Bracketology 2021: How the bubble looks according to bracketologists on March 12th


There was plenty of movement across the NCAA bubble yesterday, but most of it was what didnt happen than what did. . . Were down to just a few teams that could steal a bid from a team thats maybe-in or maybe-out of the tournament, and by the end of today that list could be even shorter. But at least one potential bid thief will make the Big East Final, and that means Saturday night will be a sweat for the teams that are looking for that last spot in The Big Dance. . . And while Duke will not be a part of the field, they werent really a factor here anyway before going home from the ACC Tournament due to COVID-19. But Georgia Tech did lose a chance to help their resume by not getting to play Virginia today because of COVID as well. . . To help find The Chosen 68, we choose the Wisdom of The Crowd to decide which teams are in and which teams are out of the 2021 NCAA Tournament. . . Similar to Nate Silvers model of predicting elections, we take the data from five bracketologists and update it each week. All bracket makers shall be counted equally, and well ask expert for their 16 teams on the bubble. The last eight in the NCAA Tournament in their estimation, and the first eight out. . . Some list this data automatically with their projections, but for the others we reach directly to directly to get their most accurate picture. . . Our model is pretty simple. 16 points for being the eighth-from-last team in the NCAA tournament, to one point for having seven teams between you and even making the First Four. If a team has an average of 9. 0 points or higher, they should reach the NCAA field according to the averages. . . Because some teams will avoid the last-eight-in all-together, while other brackets will have that same team on the bubble, well mark teams Safe that are ahead of the 16 points available on the top next four in line.

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